ChainPick

Kalshi vs Good Judgment Open

A detailed head-to-head comparison of Kalshi and Good Judgment Open — pricing, features, and which one wins for different use cases.

K

Kalshi

The first CFTC-regulated event contracts exchange — legally trade on economic and political outcomes in the US

4.3(1,240)

Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated event contracts exchange in the United States, licensed after a multi-year legal process that concluded in 2023 and allowed it to offer prediction markets on election

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G

Good Judgment Open

The public forecasting tournament from the Superforecasting researchers

4.2(61)

Good Judgment Open is the public forecasting platform run by Good Judgment Inc., the organisation born out of the research that produced the concept of 'Superforecasters' — ordinary people who, with t

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Feature Comparison

FeatureKalshiGood Judgment Open
Settlement MechanismCFTC-regulated exchangeAdmin resolution
Trading ModelCentral limit order bookForecast tournament (no money)
Collateral TokenUSDNone (Brier score)
Min Trade$1N/A
Api Access
Embeddable Odds
Geo RestrictionsUS-focused (not all countries)None
Market CreationCFTC-approved onlyPlatform-set
Mobile App
Governance Token

Kalshi Pricing

Kalshi

Free to trade

Free

  • CFTC-regulated
  • USD-denominated
  • US persons eligible
  • 1,000+ markets
  • API access
Get Started

Good Judgment Open Pricing

Good Judgment Open

Free to trade

Free

  • Forecasting tournament
  • Geopolitics/economics/science questions
  • Brier-score accuracy tracking
  • Superforecaster methodology
  • Free to participate
Get Started

Verdict: Which Should You Choose?

Kalshi is the better pick if you need cftc-regulated — legally accessible to us persons unlike polymarket. Good Judgment Open wins when backed by the research behind superforecasting. Both are production-ready — the right choice depends on your team's workflow and budget.