Prediction Market Odds Comparison
See the same crypto and macro questions priced across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold simultaneously. Gaps between platforms signal where the market disagrees — and where arbitrage may exist.
CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before end of 2026?
68%
avg YES
6pp spread across sources — consensus
CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026
Will Ethereum's market cap exceed Bitcoin's in 2026?
12%
avg YES
4pp spread across sources — consensus
MacroCloses Sep 30, 2026
Will the Fed cut rates at least once in Q3 2026?
54%
avg YES
7pp spread across sources — consensus
CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026
Will a Solana ETF be approved in the US in 2026?
76%
avg YES
7pp spread across sources — consensus
DeFiCloses Dec 31, 2026
Will DeFi total TVL exceed $200B in 2026?
40%
avg YES
3pp spread across sources — consensus
CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026
Will Bitcoin spot ETF cumulative inflows exceed $50B by end of 2026?
62%
avg YES
6pp spread across sources — consensus
Probabilities are sourced from public prediction markets and refresh periodically. Not financial advice.