ChainPick

Prediction Market Odds Comparison

See the same crypto and macro questions priced across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold simultaneously. Gaps between platforms signal where the market disagrees — and where arbitrage may exist.

CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before end of 2026?

68%
avg YES

6pp spread across sources — consensus

CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026

Will Ethereum's market cap exceed Bitcoin's in 2026?

12%
avg YES

4pp spread across sources — consensus

MacroCloses Sep 30, 2026

Will the Fed cut rates at least once in Q3 2026?

54%
avg YES

7pp spread across sources — consensus

CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026

Will a Solana ETF be approved in the US in 2026?

76%
avg YES

7pp spread across sources — consensus

DeFiCloses Dec 31, 2026

Will DeFi total TVL exceed $200B in 2026?

40%
avg YES

3pp spread across sources — consensus

CryptoCloses Dec 31, 2026

Will Bitcoin spot ETF cumulative inflows exceed $50B by end of 2026?

62%
avg YES

6pp spread across sources — consensus

Probabilities are sourced from public prediction markets and refresh periodically. Not financial advice.