Manifold Markets vs PredictIt
A detailed head-to-head comparison of Manifold Markets and PredictIt — pricing, features, and which one wins for different use cases.
Manifold Markets
Permissionless prediction market platform where anyone can create markets on anything
Manifold Markets is a permissionless prediction market platform where any user can create a binary, multiple-choice, free-response, or numeric market on any topic in under 60 seconds — no coding requi…
Full review →PredictIt
Long-running US political prediction market run for academic research
PredictIt is one of the longest-running prediction markets in the US, operated as a research project (historically in partnership with Victoria University of Wellington) and focused primarily on polit…
Full review →Feature Comparison
| Feature | Manifold Markets | PredictIt |
|---|---|---|
| Settlement Mechanism | Manual creator resolution | Platform resolution |
| Trading Model | CFMM (CPMM) | Order book (capped) |
| Collateral Token | Play money (Mana) / Sweep | USD |
| Min Trade | M$10 (~free) | $1 |
| Api Access | ✓ | ✓ |
| Embeddable Odds | ✓ | ✓ |
| Geo Restrictions | None (sweepstakes mode) | US-focused |
| Market Creation | Permissionless | Platform-approved |
| Mobile App | ✓ | ✓ |
| Governance Token | ✗ | ✗ |
Manifold Markets Pricing
Manifold Markets
Free
Free
- ✓Unlimited market creation
- ✓Play-money (Mana)
- ✓Sweepstakes real prizes
- ✓API access
- ✓Embeds
- ✓Mobile app
Manifold Markets
Manifold for Business
Custom
- ✓Private internal markets
- ✓Custom branding
- ✓Team analytics
- ✓Dedicated support
PredictIt Pricing
PredictIt
Free to trade (fees apply)
Free
- ✓Real USD markets
- ✓US political focus
- ✓5% profit fee + 5% withdrawal fee
- ✓Per-market position caps
- ✓Long historical record
Verdict: Which Should You Choose?
Manifold Markets is the better pick if you need fully permissionless — create any market on any topic in under 60 seconds. PredictIt wins when long-running, widely-cited us political market. Both are production-ready — the right choice depends on your team's workflow and budget.