Metaculus vs Futuur
A detailed head-to-head comparison of Metaculus and Futuur — pricing, features, and which one wins for different use cases.
Metaculus
Reputation-based forecasting platform for serious probabilistic prediction
Metaculus is a forecasting platform — distinct from money-based prediction markets — where a community of forecasters makes probabilistic predictions on science, technology, geopolitics, AI, and world…
Full review →Futuur
Global prediction market offering both play-money and real-money modes
Futuur is a global prediction-market platform notable for offering both a play-money mode and a real-money (crypto) mode side by side, across a broad range of categories — politics, crypto, science, s…
Full review →Feature Comparison
| Feature | Metaculus | Futuur |
|---|---|---|
| Settlement Mechanism | Admin/community resolution | Platform + oracle resolution |
| Trading Model | Forecast aggregation (no money) | AMM / order book |
| Collateral Token | None (reputation) | Crypto or play-money |
| Min Trade | N/A | $1 |
| Api Access | ✓ | ✓ |
| Embeddable Odds | ✓ | ✓ |
| Geo Restrictions | None | Broadly international |
| Market Creation | Community-proposed | Community-proposed |
| Mobile App | ✗ | ✓ |
| Governance Token | ✗ | ✗ |
Metaculus Pricing
Metaculus
Free to trade
Free
- ✓Reputation-based forecasting
- ✓Science/tech/geopolitics/AI questions
- ✓Calibration scoring + track records
- ✓Community + Metaculus predictions
- ✓Free to participate
Futuur Pricing
Futuur
Free to trade
Free
- ✓Play-money + real-money modes
- ✓Broad global market coverage
- ✓Crypto settlement
- ✓Beginner-friendly on-ramp
- ✓Mobile apps
Verdict: Which Should You Choose?
Metaculus is the better pick if you need rigorous, calibration-scored forecasting. Futuur wins when dual play-money and real-money modes. Both are production-ready — the right choice depends on your team's workflow and budget.